Archive

Posts Tagged ‘BETTING ODDS FIGHT PREDICTIONS’

Jackson Vs Jardine: Can the “Dean of Mean” handle the “Rampage”?

March 7th, 2009

Jackson Vs Jardine: Can the “Dean of Mean” handle the “Rampage”?

 By John Gagne

 

 This Saturday we have a very intriguing match up in the UFC light heavyweight division. Keith Jardine is facing off against Quinton Jackson. If this fight doesn’t have the potential to be a slugfest I don’t know what does. A lot rides on this match. It may catapult Jardine to title contention. Which Jardine has already stated he will not fight his friend Rashad Evans current UFC light heavyweight champ. So this win may see the return of Jardine to the heavyweight division. Unless Lyoto Machida is next in line, and can knock off Rashad it doesn’t appear to be a great scenario for Jardine. We also have a chance for Jackson to gain his second title shot. I know the match up I want to see is Jackson vs. Evans.

 

There will be a few main factors that will help determine the outcome of this fight. The first being the ability for Jardine to confuse his opponents with his awkward and sometimes “herky jerky” style, if Jardine can do that it will be a long night for Jackson.

 

The second is Jackson’s sheer aggression. He comes out guns blazing looking for any way to win the fight except maybe a submission. If he can stay inside, push the pace and block Jardine’s low kicks I think the night looks good for Jackson.

 

The third is momentum, and both guys are coming off very big wins. While Jackson’s was much more impressive and propelled him much higher up in the light heavyweight division. Even though a win is a win, Jardine was not that impressive against a slipping Brandon Vera. If you base this fight on the last fights of each guy, hands down Jackson takes this.

 

Both of these competitors have the chance to put on a great show. But we have seen these guys perform worse than there capabilities on a few occasions. I would not put a win past either man, but Jackson just brings more to the table. Jackson takes the win via TKO in the fourth minute of the second round.

 

If you are looking to bet on this fight the odds are not very favorable for us. With Jackson being a pretty heavy favorite at -350. I would stay away unless you don’t mind putting up $1050 to make 300. I know my confidence in “Rampage” is high enough to take that, but is yours?

 

MMA News ,

John’s UFC 96 Predictions

March 6th, 2009

John’s UFC 96 Predictions and Worth the bet!

UFC 96 Fight

John’s Pick

Method

Round

Minute

Worth the bet?

Quinton Jackson vs Keith Jardine

Winner: Quinton Jackson

Technical Knock Out

2

4

Not Worth It

Matt Hamil vs Mark Munoz

Winner: Matt Hamill

Technical Knock Out

2

3

Yes - BET!

Gabriel Gonzaga vs Shane Carwin

Winner: Gabriel Gonzaga

Submission

3

3

Yes - BET!

Tim Boetsch vs Jason Brilz

Winner: Tim Boetsch

Technical Knock Out

2

2

Yes - BET!

Michael Patt vs Brandon Vera

Winner Brandon Vera

Technical Knock Out

1

3

Not Worth It

Tamdan McCroy vs Ryan Madigan

Winner: Tamdan McCroy

Technical Knock Out

1

4

Not Worth It

Shane Nelson vs Aaron Riley

Winner: Aaron Riley

Technical Knock Out

2

3

Yes - BET!

Kendall Grove vs Jason Day

Winner: Kendall Grove

Technical Knock Out

2

3

Yes - BET!

Grey Maynard vs Jim Miller

Winner: Grey Maynard

Unanimous Decision

3

5

Yes - BET!

Pete Sell vs Matt Brown

Winner: Pete Sell

Technical Knock Out

2

3

Yes - BET!

MMA News , ,

John’s WEC Brown vs Garcia Pick and Betting Advice

March 1st, 2009

John’s WEC Brown vs Garcia Predictions and Worth the bet!

Fight

John’s Pick

Method

Round

Minute

Worth the bet?

Leonard Garcia vs Mike Brown

Winner: Mike Brown

Submission

3

5

Yes - BET!

Bart Palaszewski vs Ricardo Lamas

Winner: Bart Palaszewski

Technical Knock Out

2

3

Yes - BET!

Chris Mickle vs Jose Aldo

Winner: Jose Aldo

Submission

1

2

Not Worth It

Rob McCullough vs Marcis Hicks

Winner: Rob McCullough

Unanimous Decision

3

5

Yes - BET!

Phil Cardella vs Danny Castillo

Winner: Danny Castillo

Technical Knock Out

2

3

Yes - BET!

Marcos Galvao vs Damacio Page

Winner Damacio Page

Technical Knock Out

1

4

Yes - BET!

Kenji Osawa vs Rafael Rebello

Winner: Kenji Osawa

Technical Knock Out

2

3

Yes - BET!

Mike Budnik vs John Franchi

Winner: Mike Budnik

Technical Knock Out

2

3

Yes - BET!

Justin Haskins vs Mike Pierce

Winner: Mike Pierce

Technical Knock Out

2

3

Yes - BET!

Alex Serduykov vs Johny Hendricks

Winner: Johny Hendricks

Technical Knock Out

2

4

Not Worth It

MMA News , ,

JOHN’S UFC 95 PICKS AND WORTH THE BET?

February 21st, 2009

John’s UFC 95 Predictions and Worth the bet!

UFC 95 Fight

John’s Pick

Method

Round

Minute

Worth the bet?

Diego Sanchez vs Joe Stevenson

Winner: Diego Sanchez

Split Decision

3

5

Not Worth It

Damian Maia vs Chael Sonnen

Winner: Damian Mai

Submission

2

3

Yes - BET!

Rory Markham vs Dan Hardy

Winner: Rory Markham

Unanimous Decision

3

5

Yes - BET!

Nate Marquardt vs Wilson Gouveia

Winner: Nate Marquardt

Unanimous Decision

3

5

Yes - BET!

Paulo Thiago vs Josh Koscheck

Winner: Josh Koscheck

Technical Knock Out

2

3

Not Worth It

Junior Dos Santos vs Stefan Struve

Winner: Junior Dos Santos

Knock Out

1

4

Not Worth It

Terry Etim vs Brian Cobb

Winner Terry Etim

Technical Knock Out

2

3

Yes - BET!

Mike Ciesnolevicz vs Neil Grove

Winner: Mike Ciesnolevicz

Technical Knock Out

2

3

Yes - BET!

Paul Kelly vs Troy Mandaoniz

Winner: Paul Kelly

Technical Knock Out

2

3

Not Worth It

Per Eklund vs Evan Dunham

Winner: Per Eklund

Submission

1

4

Yes - BET!

Diego Sanchez, UFC 95 , ,

John’s UFN 17 Predictions and Worth the bet!

February 7th, 2009

John’s UFN 17 Predictions and Worth the bet!

UFN 17 Fight

John’s Pick

Method

Round

Minute

Worth the bet?

Joe Lauzon vs Jeremy Stephens

Winner: Joe Lauzon

Submission

2

3

Yes - BET!

Matt Grice vs Matt Veach

Winner: Matt Grice

Unanimous Decision

3

5

Yes - BET!

Nick Catone vs Derek Downey

Winner: Nick Catone

Technical Knock Out

2

3

Yes - BET!

Mac Danzig vs Josh Neer

Winner: Josh Neer

Split Decision

3

5

Yes - BET!

Gleison Tibau vs Rich Clementi

Winner: Rich Clementi

Unanimous Decision

3

5

Yes - BET!

Dan Miller vs Jake Rosholt

Winner: Dan Miller

Submission

2

3

Yes - BET!

Anthony Johnson vs Luigi Fioravanti

Winner: Anthony Johnson

Technical Knock Out

2

3

Not Worth It

Cain Velasquez vs Dennis Stojnic

Winner: Cain Velasquez

Technical Knock Out

1

3

Not Worth It

Kurt Pellegrino vs Rob Emerson

Winner: Kurt Pellegrino

Submission

2

3

Yes - BET!

Steve Bruno vs Matt Riddle

Winner: Matt Riddle

Unanimous Decision

3

5

Yes - BET!

 

UFC Fight Night 17 , , , , ,

ULTIMATE FIGHT NIGHT: LAUZON VS. STEPHENS

February 6th, 2009

ULTIMATE FIGHT NIGHT: LAUZON VS. STEPHENS

 By John Gagne

 

 This fight does not have the potential to be a ground battle like the Franca vs. Lauzon. But what it does have is two tough as nails fighters, who are looking to move up the UFC lightweight ranks. This fight will be a battle. Each fighter brings a different game to the table.

 Joe Lauzon started off his career as a premier grappler for NAGA or the North American Grappling Association. These grappling events featured Joe in many tough superfights. He also made a name for him self in the New England MMA scene at a very young age.

 Joe didn’t get his big break until UFC 63. Where we saw Joe TKO MMA legend Jens “Little Evil” Pulver. Joe also holds a victory over WEC featherweight champ Mike Thomas Brown. Joe has only seen defeat two times in his career in the octagon. The first was against fellow New Englander Kenny “Ken Flo” Florian. And the second loss was Manny Gamburyan in the semi-finals of TUF 5.

Jeremy Stephens is no slouch. He is a tough guy that’s very well rounded. Besides Spencer Fisher, I believe Joe Lauzon will be he toughest test in UFC. Most of Jeremy’s victories are via TKO or KO. Knowing that we can all assume he wants a stand up war. Even though Joe Lauzon has improved his striking. I feel the edge goes to Stephens.

However Jeremy Stephens has suffered two of his three losses by submission. If you look at Joes record on the other hand. He has most of his wins via submission. It will be interesting to see how this fight unfolds. Can Joe Lauzon get Stephens down? I think so, that’s why I am taking him in the second round rear naked choke or heel hook.

The odds for this fight are pretty good. The bookmakers are not making Joe a huge favorite. I would take him hands down. 

Jeremy Stephens, Joe Lauzon, UFC, UFC Fight Night , , ,

WEC 38: JOHN’S PICKS AND BETTING ADVICE

January 25th, 2009

WEC 38: JOHN’S PICKS

 

By John Gagne

 

FIGHT                               WINNING METHOD             BET                 REASON

 

1. VARNER VS  CERRONE   VARNER TKO 4TH                YES           GREAT ODDS

 

2. FABER  VS  PULVER         FABER DECISION               NO              BAD ODDS

 

3. CAMPBELL VS VILLEFORT   CAMPBELL DECISION      YES          GOOD ODDS

 

4. ALDO VS PEREZ                  ALDO TKO 1ST                 NO              BAD ODDS

 

5. NJOKUANI VS HENDERSON    NJOKUANI TKO 2ND      YES            GOOD ODDS

 

6. MIURA VS GARCIA             MIURA TKO 2ND                NO             BAD ODDS

 

7. CRUZ VS MCCALL               CRUZ TKO 2ND                  NO              BAD ODDS

 

8.  JORGENSEN VS GOMEZ      JORGENSEN TKO 3RD      YES            GOOD ODDS

 

9. AVENA VS LENNOX          AVENA SUBMISSION 2nd     YES           GOOD ODDS

 

10. DIKUN VS VALENCIA     VALENCIA KO 1ST               YES           DECENT ODDS

MMA News , ,

Can “C-4” Blow Up “The Cowboy?” VARNER VS CERRONE FIGHT PREDICTION AND BETTING ADVICE

January 25th, 2009

Can “C-4” Blow Up “The Cowboy?”

 

By John Gagne

 

This fight stylistically is interesting. “The Cowboy” has a striking background and “C-4” likes to stay in the pocket and bang. We all saw Varner out strike “Razor” Rob to attain the WEC Lightweight Title. It will be interesting to see how the stand up war will pan out. Will the boxing style of Varner prevail or will “The Cowboy’s” kickboxing keep him at bay.

 

These two also have good ground games. “The Cowboy” finished most of his fights via submission. While Varner has a great pedigree in wrestling and trains with current WEC champ Carlos Condit. Who is a bigger, better version of Cerrone. A lot has also been said about Cerrone training at Greg Jackson’s. Working out with one of the best camps in the US, as well as many top fighters will help Cerrone. However having great training partners is great, only if you have the same potential as them. I do not see Cerrone benefiting as much as people will think training with Team Jackson.

 

This fight will be a little bit of a war. I think the first two rounds will be Varner getting used to Cerrone’s size. And the third will start to show Varner getting the best of Cerrone, on his way to a late 3rd or mid 4th round stoppage via TKO.

 

The odds in this fight are pretty good. Even though Varner is the favorite. The bookmakers have not set him as a heavy favorite. I would take Varner for sure.

 

 

Jamie Varner, World Extreme Cagefighting (WEC) , , ,

AFFLICTION “DAY OF RECKONING FIGHT PREDICTIONS AND BETTING ADVICE

January 25th, 2009

          JOHN’S PICKS AND BETTING ADVICE  AFFLICTION JANUARY 24th

 

 FIGHT                                       WINNING METHOD                          BET OR NOT              REASON

 

 Fedor Vs Andrei                       FEDOR BY TKO 2nd                           DO NOT BET            BAD ODDS

 

Yvel Vs Josh Barnett               JOSH BY SUBMISSION 2nd                 DO NOT BET            BAD ODDS

 

Matt Linland Vs Vitor Belfort       VITOR BY DECISION                         BET                  GREAT ODDS

 

Renato Sobral Vs Sokoujou            SOKOUJOU BY TKO 2nd                  BET                 GREAT ODDS

 

Paul Buentello Vs Kiril Sidelnikov       KIRIL BY TKO 2nd                       BET                  GREAT ODDS

 

Dan Lauzon Vs. Chris Horedecki         CANCELED CANCELED CANCELED CANCELED CANCELED

 

Rogerio Nogiera Vs Matyushenko     ROGERIO BY SUB 2nd                  BET                  GREAT ODDS

 

Jay Hieron Vs Jason High                   JAY BY TKO 1st                       DO NOT BET         BAD ODDS

 

L.C. Davis Vs Bao Quach                  L.C. BY TKO 2nd                          BET                  GOOD ODDS

 

Antonio Duarte Vs Alber Rios     ANTONIO BY SUB 1st                    DO NOT BET          BAD ODDS

 

Brett Cooper Vs Patrick Speight        BRETT BY KO 2nd                        BET                  GOOD ODDS

Affliction, Andrei Arlovski, MMA News, fedor emelianenko , , , , , ,